The Cavs have a 60% chance of winning this years NBA title

Why?

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1) No Bogut – Bogut has been cleaning up Draymond’s gaps throughout the playoffs. It not the Green hasn’t been playing well, its just that Bogut makes Green’s defensive assignments easier knowing that there’s someone behind covering well for him.

2) Lebron and his final chance – I don’t like Lebron James. Primadonna etc etc. But he knows very well that with Bogut out, he can inflict as much damage as he can and wear Green out. I have always thought that Lebron will not stay after this year and this is his final chance on the title for the Cavs. I’m still convinced that winning the title would be his best (forgivable) exit strategy.

3)The Warriors are tired – The Cavs breezed through the finals but the Warriors had a very difficult time. The extra games took a lot out of them and being in this stretch with a man down is simply too much.

If the Warriors win it, it would come from the coaching staff. Everyone agrees that ¬† Bogut is irreplaceable. But if the coaching staff prepares the team to make it through the fourth quarter on a close match, then its theirs for the taking. If they won’t, then maybe we can watch Episode 9 of the sixth season of Game of Thrones.

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